HOU · QB
Davis Mills
Davis Mills is a quarterback for the Houston Texans. Depth chart: QB2.
Scouting report
Davis Mills: the full picture
Davis Mills at a glance
Davis Mills is a 27-year-old quarterback for the Houston Texans, listed at 6'4" and 225 pounds. The Houston Texans drafted Mills 67th overall in the third round in 2021, out of Stanford; this is year six in the league.
2026 projection
Our season projection has Mills at 29.6 PPR points for 2026, which ranks QB45 at the position and works out to 2.4 points per game over 17.0 projected games.
Career track record
By season-long PPR scoring, Mills has finished as QB29 in 2021, QB21 in 2022, QB59 in 2023, QB61 in 2024 and QB41 in 2025. The high-water mark is 181.5 PPR points in 2022. Across 43 regular-season games on record, the totals read 7,082 passing yards, 40 passing touchdowns, 232 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns.
Davis Mills by the numbers
Mills has been the highest-scoring quarterback of the week 1 time, finished in the weekly top five at the position 3 times and finished in the top twelve 10 times. The career high is 27.7 PPR points, set in Week 10 of 2025 against JAX, the top QB score of that week. The game log also shows 6 300-yard passing games and 5 games with three or more touchdowns. In all, Mills has reached 20 points in 5 games, 12% of career appearances.
Contract
Mills is playing on a one-year, $7 million contract signed with the Houston Texans in 2025, an average of $7 million per year with $10.3 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2025 season.
Dynasty market
In dynasty formats Mills carries a GV stock price of 1,917, which ranks 217th overall and QB38 among quarterbacks out of 940 priced players. In redraft the same model ranks Mills 395th overall. Value has moved up 0.1 since the previous model run. See where Mills sits on the trade value chart.
2026 projected stat line
- Projected PPR
- 29.6
- PPR / game
- 2.4
Davis Mills fantasy outlook
Davis Mills enters the 2026 season with HOU and ranks QB46 and #436 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 29.6 PPR points across 12.2 games, or 2.4 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a lineup and depth tier. The preseason depth chart lists Davis Mills as QB2, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Davis Mills produced 68.6 PPR points in 6 games (11.4 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 29%, with a 0% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.
Week 3 projection
Davis Mills is projected for 1.0 PPR points on the road at IND in week 3, with a likely range of 0.0 to 7.2.
Trade value
Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is up 0.1 since the previous model run (stable).
- Redraft
- 8.9
- Dynasty
- 18.6
- Superflex redraft
- 26.9
- Superflex dynasty
- 48.5
- TE premium dynasty
- 11.2
Career stats
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | Int | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | HOU | 6 | 91 | 159 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 1 | 68.6 |
| 2024 | HOU | 4 | 20 | 36 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 9.6 |
| 2023 | HOU | 5 | 18 | 39 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 17.8 |
| 2022 | HOU | 15 | 292 | 479 | 3,118 | 17 | 15 | 108 | 2 | 181.5 |
| 2021 | HOU | 13 | 263 | 394 | 2,664 | 16 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 157.0 |
Quarterbacks ranked near Davis Mills
- Drew Lock QB42 · 31.3 PPR
- Mac Jones QB43 · 31.3 PPR
- Mitchell Trubisky QB44 · 31.2 PPR
- Joshua Dobbs QB46 · 29.3 PPR
- Tyrod Taylor QB47 · 28.8 PPR
- Jake Browning QB48 · 26.9 PPR
Houston Texans fantasy players
- C.J. Stroud QB · 263.3 PPR
- Nico Collins WR · 232.4 PPR
- David Montgomery RB · 175.5 PPR
- Dalton Schultz TE · 130.8 PPR
- Woody Marks RB · 116.5 PPR
- Xavier Hutchinson WR · 106.3 PPR
Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-09-24.