BUF · TE
Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid is a tight end for the Buffalo Bills. Depth chart: TE1.
Scouting report
Dalton Kincaid: the full picture
Dalton Kincaid at a glance
Dalton Kincaid is a 26-year-old tight end for the Buffalo Bills, listed at 6'3" and 246 pounds. The Buffalo Bills drafted Kincaid 25th overall in the first round in 2023, out of Utah; this is year four in the league.
2026 projection
Our season projection has Kincaid at 137.0 PPR points for 2026, which ranks TE15 at the position and works out to 9.5 points per game over 17.0 projected games.
2026 season so far
Through 2 games of 2026, Kincaid has scored 40.5 PPR points, or 20.3 per game. That is 29.6% of the full-season projection; at the current rate Kincaid would finish with about 344 points, ahead of the 137.0 projected. It is a small sample, so expect that pace to settle. The best week so far is 22.5 points in Week 2 against DET, the TE3 finish that week. Kincaid has cleared the 7-point mark we count as a usable TE start in 2 of 2 games, a 100% consistency rate.
Percentile profile
Measured against the 33 qualified tight ends of 2026, Kincaid ranks in the 98th percentile in receiving yards, the 98th percentile in yards per target and the 92nd percentile in target share. Four of the 6 tracked categories sit at or above the 75th percentile. The softest mark is the 47th percentile in average separation.
Career track record
By season-long PPR scoring, Kincaid has finished as TE11 in 2023, TE30 in 2024 and TE20 in 2025. One of those 3 seasons ended inside the top twelve. The high-water mark is 150.3 PPR points in 2023. Across 43 regular-season games on record, the totals read 168 receptions, 1,917 receiving yards and 10 receiving touchdowns.
Dalton Kincaid by the numbers
Kincaid has finished in the weekly top five at the position 8 times and finished in the top twelve 18 times. The career high is 22.5 PPR points, set in Week 2 of 2026 against DET. The game log also shows 3 100-yard receiving games. In all, Kincaid has reached 20 points in 2 games, 5% of career appearances.
Contract
Kincaid is playing on a four-year, $13.4 million contract signed with the Buffalo Bills in 2023, an average of $3.4 million per year with $13.4 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2026 season.
Dynasty market
In dynasty formats Kincaid carries a GV stock price of 5,938, which ranks 21st overall and TE4 among tight ends out of 940 priced players. In redraft the same model ranks Kincaid 25th overall. Value has moved up 7.7 since the previous model run. The closest profiles by the similarity model are Travis Kelce, Trey McBride and Mike Gesicki. See where Kincaid sits on the trade value chart.
2026 projected stat line
- Projected PPR
- 137.0
- PPR / game
- 9.5
Dalton Kincaid fantasy outlook
Dalton Kincaid enters the 2026 season with BUF and ranks TE15 and #136 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 137.0 PPR points across 14.4 games, or 9.5 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a strong starter tier. The preseason depth chart lists Dalton Kincaid as TE1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Dalton Kincaid produced 126.1 PPR points in 12 games (10.5 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 58%, with a 70% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.
Week 2 projection
Dalton Kincaid is projected for 11.3 PPR points at home against DET in week 2, with a likely range of 0.0 to 26.5.
Trade value
Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is up 7.7 since the previous model run (rising).
- Redraft
- 65.0
- Dynasty
- 57.6
- Superflex redraft
- 70.4
- Superflex dynasty
- 67.5
- TE premium dynasty
- 57.8
Career stats
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | BUF | 2 | 14 | 12 | 225 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 40.5 |
| 2025 | BUF | 12 | 49 | 39 | 571 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 126.1 |
| 2024 | BUF | 13 | 75 | 44 | 448 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.8 |
| 2023 | BUF | 16 | 91 | 73 | 673 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.3 |
Tight ends ranked near Dalton Kincaid
- Dallas Goedert TE12 · 149.5 PPR
- Hunter Henry TE13 · 145.4 PPR
- Harold Fannin Jr. TE14 · 145.0 PPR
- AJ Barner TE16 · 131.2 PPR
- Dalton Schultz TE17 · 130.8 PPR
- Jake Ferguson TE18 · 129.6 PPR
Buffalo Bills fantasy players
- Josh Allen QB · 339.2 PPR
- James Cook RB · 294.6 PPR
- DJ Moore WR · 187.3 PPR
- Khalil Shakir WR · 133.4 PPR
- Keon Coleman WR · 92.4 PPR
- Dawson Knox TE · 76.4 PPR
Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-09-24.