WR34 / JAX

Brian Thomas Jr.

Starter tier / #120 overall

Quick glance

Brian Thomas Jr. is a wide receiver for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Gridiron Value projects 197.5 PPR points with 61% model confidence. Brian Thomas Jr.'s career-best receiving season reached 1,282 yards in 2024.

Source
Gridiron Value model output
Latest model recompute
Aug 1, 2026
Next update
Every Tuesday
2026 season outlook

Brian Thomas Jr. projection range

Percentiles describe the model's range of season outcomes. They are not separate point predictions.

P5 downside18.5
Median197.5
P95 upside390.0
Confidence61%
P5 18P50 198P95 390
Projected stat line

What the model expects

Open weekly projections →
Games15
PPR197.5
PPR / game13.2
Targets107
Receptions63
Rec yards973
Rec TD6.2
Rush yards31
Rush TD0.2
Career production

Season-by-season NFL stats

Regular-season totals through 2025, with the categories that drive fantasy scoring for WRs.

SeasonTeamGTgtRecRec YdsRec TDCarRush YdsRush TDFumPPR
2025JAX149148707232110138.8
2024JAX17133871,2821064800284.0
Career-312241351,9891296910422.8
Model+

WR+ player profile

100 is position average. The components show where the model sees strength or drag relative to comparable WRs.

Projected WR+119WR9 / 2025 actual 102
Output149
70Avg 100130
Opportunity116
70Avg 100130
Efficiency100
70Avg 100130
Role112
70Avg 100130
Context111
70Avg 100130
Scoring111
70Avg 100130