RB43 / TB

Kenny Gainwell

Starter tier / #261 overall

Quick glance

Kenny Gainwell enters the 2026 season with TB and ranks RB39 and #139 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 127.5 PPR points across 14.8 games, or 8.6 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a lineup and depth tier. The preseason depth chart lists Kenny Gainwell as RB2, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Kenny Gainwell produced 221.3 PPR points in 17 games (13.0 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 52%, with a 4% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.

Source
Gridiron Value model output
Latest model recompute
Aug 1, 2026
Next update
Every Tuesday
2026 season outlook

Kenny Gainwell projection range

Percentiles describe the model's range of season outcomes. They are not separate point predictions.

P5 downside16.0
Median127.5
P95 upside304.0
Confidence78%
P5 16P50 127P95 304
Projected stat line

What the model expects

Open weekly projections →
Games15
PPR127.5
PPR / game8.6
Carries93
Rush yards430
Rush TD4.6
Receptions27
Rec yards191
Rec TD1.8
Career production

Season-by-season NFL stats

Regular-season totals through 2025, with the categories that drive fantasy scoring for RBs.

SeasonTeamGCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TDFumPPR
2025PIT171145375857348631221.3
2024PHI1775290122161160062.6
2023PHI1684364237301830097.4
2022PHI1753240429231690087.9
2021PHI16682915503325310123.4
Career-833941,722172231751,20741592.6
Model+

RB+ player profile

100 is position average. The components show where the model sees strength or drag relative to comparable RBs.

Projected RB+104RB39 / 2025 actual 105
Output102
70Avg 100130
Opportunity103
70Avg 100130
Efficiency100
70Avg 100130
Role105
70Avg 100130
Context96
70Avg 100130
Scoring100
70Avg 100130