QB32 / ATL

Michael Penix Jr.

Premium tier / #34 overall

Quick glance

Michael Penix Jr. enters the 2026 season with ATL and ranks QB33 and #260 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 51.9 PPR points across 13.0 games, or 4.0 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a lineup and depth tier. The preseason depth chart lists Michael Penix Jr. as QB2, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. produced 120.3 PPR points in 9 games (13.4 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 43%, with a 0% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. Availability is the main uncertainty because the current injury designation is Questionable.

Source
Gridiron Value model output
Latest model recompute
Aug 1, 2026
Next update
Every Tuesday
2026 season outlook

Michael Penix Jr. projection range

Percentiles describe the model's range of season outcomes. They are not separate point predictions.

P5 downside4.8
Median51.9
P95 upside151.2
Confidence61%
P5 5P50 52P95 151
Projected stat line

What the model expects

Open weekly projections →
Games13
PPR51.9
PPR / game4.0
Pass yards753
Pass TD3.7
Rush yards67
Rush TD0.6
Career production

Season-by-season NFL stats

Regular-season totals through 2025, with the categories that drive fantasy scoring for QBs.

SeasonTeamGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTCarRush YdsRush TDFumPPR
2025ATL91662761,98293217012120.3
2024ATL561105775337111044.1
Career-142273812,757126288122164.4
Model+

QB+ player profile

100 is position average. The components show where the model sees strength or drag relative to comparable QBs.

Projected QB+102QB32 / 2025 actual 98
Output103
70Avg 100130
Opportunity100
70Avg 100130
Efficiency110
70Avg 100130
Role99
70Avg 100130
Context110
70Avg 100130
Scoring97
70Avg 100130