LAC · QB

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert is a quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers. Depth chart: QB1.

Scouting report

Justin Herbert: the full picture

Written automatically from Gridiron Value model data · updated September 24, 2026

Justin Herbert at a glance

Justin Herbert is a 28-year-old quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers, listed at 6'6" and 236 pounds. The Los Angeles Chargers drafted Herbert 6th overall in the first round in 2020, out of Oregon; this is year seven in the league.

2026 projection

Our season projection has Herbert at 304.4 PPR points for 2026, which ranks QB11 at the position and works out to 17.9 points per game over 17.0 projected games.

2026 season so far

Through 2 games of 2026, Herbert has scored 21.1 PPR points, or 10.6 per game. That is 6.9% of the full-season projection; at the current rate Herbert would finish with about 180 points, behind the 304.4 projected. It is a small sample, so expect that pace to settle. The best week so far is 13.3 points in Week 1 against ARI, the QB22 finish that week. Herbert has cleared the 18-point mark we count as a usable QB start in 0 of 2 games, a 0% consistency rate.

Percentile profile

Measured against the 33 qualified quarterbacks of 2026, Herbert ranks in the 89th percentile in intended air yards, the 62nd percentile in yards per attempt and the 55th percentile in rush yards. One of the 8 tracked categories sits at or above the 75th percentile. The softest mark is the 8th percentile in interception rate.

Career track record

By season-long PPR scoring, Herbert has finished as QB9 in 2020, QB2 in 2021, QB11 in 2022, QB17 in 2023, QB11 in 2024 and QB10 in 2025. Five of those 6 seasons ended inside the top twelve. The high-water mark is 380.8 PPR points in 2021. Across 97 regular-season games on record, the totals read 25,221 passing yards, 165 passing touchdowns, 1,746 rushing yards and 15 rushing touchdowns.

Justin Herbert by the numbers

Herbert has been the highest-scoring quarterback of the week 5 times, finished in the weekly top five at the position 24 times and finished in the top twelve 52 times. The career high is 42.8 PPR points, set in Week 5 of 2021 against CLE, the top QB score of that week. The game log also shows 7 games of 30 or more PPR points, 31 300-yard passing games and 30 games with three or more touchdowns. In all, Herbert has reached 20 points in 40 games, 41% of career appearances.

Contract

Herbert is playing on a five-year, $263 million contract signed with the Los Angeles Chargers in 2023, an average of $52.5 million per year with $134 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2027 season.

Dynasty market

In dynasty formats Herbert carries a GV stock price of 4,300, which ranks 72nd overall and QB21 among quarterbacks out of 940 priced players. In redraft the same model ranks Herbert 97th overall. Value has moved down 4.7 since the previous model run. The closest profiles by the similarity model are Bo Nix, Daniel Jones and Joe Burrow. See where Herbert sits on the trade value chart.

2026 projected stat line

Projected PPR
304.4
PPR / game
17.9

Justin Herbert fantasy outlook

Justin Herbert enters the 2026 season with LAC and ranks QB11 and #19 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 304.4 PPR points across 17.0 games, or 17.9 points per game, placing the expected outcome in an elite fantasy tier. The preseason depth chart lists Justin Herbert as QB1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Justin Herbert produced 286.9 PPR points in 16 games (17.9 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 62%, with a 82% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.

Week 1 projection

Justin Herbert is projected for 20.1 PPR points at home against ARI in week 1, with a likely range of 0.6 to 49.4.

Trade value

Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is down 4.7 since the previous model run (stable).

Redraft
44.3
Dynasty
41.7
Superflex redraft
84.7
Superflex dynasty
83.1
TE premium dynasty
25.1

Compare Justin Herbert on the trade value chart

Career stats

SeasonTeamGCmpAttPass ydsPass TDIntRush ydsRush TDPPR
2026LAC232544012331021.1
2025LAC163405123,72726134982286.9
2024LAC173325043,8702333062285.4
2023LAC132974563,1342072283234.2
2022LAC174776994,73925101470281.3
2021LAC174436725,01438153023380.8
2020LAC153965954,33631102345332.8

Quarterbacks ranked near Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers fantasy players

Los Angeles Chargers depth chart and projections

Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-09-24.