KC · QB

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. Depth chart: QB1.

Scouting report

Patrick Mahomes: the full picture

Written automatically from Gridiron Value model data · updated September 24, 2026

Patrick Mahomes at a glance

Patrick Mahomes is a 31-year-old quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs, listed at 6'2" and 225 pounds. The Kansas City Chiefs drafted Mahomes 10th overall in the first round in 2017, out of Texas Tech; this is year ten in the league.

2026 projection

Our season projection has Mahomes at 304.1 PPR points for 2026, which ranks QB12 at the position and works out to 17.9 points per game over 17.0 projected games. The stat line behind that number is 4,524 passing yards, 22.6 passing touchdowns, 305 rushing yards and 3.8 rushing touchdowns. The model does not treat that as a promise: the range of outcomes runs from 30 points at the 5th percentile to 520 at the 95th, with a median of 304 and 78% projection confidence.

2026 season so far

Through 2 games of 2026, Mahomes has scored 50.6 PPR points, or 25.3 per game. That is 16.7% of the full-season projection; at the current rate Mahomes would finish with about 430 points, ahead of the 304.1 projected. It is a small sample, so expect that pace to settle. The best week so far is 29.0 points in Week 2 against IND, the QB4 finish that week. Mahomes has cleared the 18-point mark we count as a usable QB start in 2 of 2 games, a 100% consistency rate.

Percentile profile

Measured against the 33 qualified quarterbacks of 2026, Mahomes ranks in the 86th percentile in pass yards, the 82nd percentile in pass TDs and the 71st percentile in yards per attempt. Two of the 8 tracked categories sit at or above the 75th percentile. The softest mark is the 5th percentile in intended air yards.

Career track record

By season-long PPR scoring, Mahomes has finished as QB4 in 2020, QB4 in 2021, QB1 in 2022, QB8 in 2023, QB12 in 2024 and QB11 in 2025. That is four top-five positional finishes in 9 completed seasons. The high-water mark is 417.4 PPR points in 2022. Across 128 regular-season games on record, the totals read 36,505 passing yards, 272 passing touchdowns, 2,705 rushing yards and 20 rushing touchdowns.

Patrick Mahomes by the numbers

Mahomes has been the highest-scoring quarterback of the week 12 times, finished in the weekly top five at the position 45 times and finished in the top twelve 84 times. The career high is 40.0 PPR points, set in Week 3 of 2020 against BAL, the top QB score of that week. The game log also shows 19 games of 30 or more PPR points, 51 300-yard passing games and 53 games with three or more touchdowns. In all, Mahomes has reached 20 points in 69 games, 54% of career appearances.

Contract

Mahomes is playing on a seven-year, $448 million contract signed with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026, an average of $64 million per year with $95.5 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2032 season.

2026 projected stat line

Projected PPR
304.1
PPR / game
17.9
Pass yards
4,524
Pass TD
22.6
Rush yards
305
Rush TD
3.8

Patrick Mahomes fantasy outlook

Patrick Mahomes enters the 2026 season with KC and ranks QB12 and #20 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 304.1 PPR points across 17.0 games, or 17.9 points per game, placing the expected outcome in an elite fantasy tier. The preseason depth chart lists Patrick Mahomes as QB1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Patrick Mahomes produced 285.7 PPR points in 14 games (20.4 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 59%, with a 81% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.

Week 3 projection

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 18.7 PPR points on the road at MIA in week 3, with a likely range of 2.0 to 46.1.

Trade value

Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is up 4.0 since the previous model run (stable).

Redraft
64.0
Dynasty
57.6
Superflex redraft
98.9
Superflex dynasty
95.7
TE premium dynasty
34.7

Compare Patrick Mahomes on the trade value chart

Career stats

SeasonTeamGCmpAttPass ydsPass TDIntRush ydsRush TDPPR
2026KC247745665140150.6
2025KC143155023,58722114225285.7
2024KC163925813,92826113072283.0
2023KC164015974,18327143890280.2
2022KC174356485,25041123584417.4
2021KC174366584,83937133812361.7
2020KC153905884,7403863082374.4
2019KC143194844,0312652182287.0
2018KC163835805,09750122722417.1
2017KC122352840110010.4

Quarterbacks ranked near Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs fantasy players

Kansas City Chiefs depth chart and projections

Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-09-24.