RB16 / SF

Kaelon Black

Starter tier / #117 overall

Quick glance

Kaelon Black enters the 2026 season with SF and ranks RB65 and #229 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 67.0 PPR points across 14.0 games, or 4.8 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a depth and watch-list tier. The preseason depth chart lists Kaelon Black as RB3, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. There is not yet a complete recent NFL season in the data, so role, draft investment, and the current team environment carry more weight than player history. Projection confidence is 22%, with a 0% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The primary risk is earning enough weekly opportunity from a lower depth-chart position.

Source
Gridiron Value model output
Latest model recompute
Aug 1, 2026
Next update
Every Tuesday
2026 season outlook

Kaelon Black projection range

Percentiles describe the model's range of season outcomes. They are not separate point predictions.

P5 downside1.3
Median67.0
P95 upside175.5
Confidence35%
P5 1P50 67P95 175
Projected stat line

What the model expects

Open weekly projections →
Games14
PPR67.0
PPR / game4.8
Carries59
Rush yards287
Rush TD1.9
Receptions13
Rec yards106
Rec TD0.6
Career production

Season-by-season NFL stats

Regular-season totals through 2025, with the categories that drive fantasy scoring for RBs.

NFL sample pending

The public projection will sharpen as more NFL usage enters the model.

Model+

RB+ player profile

100 is position average. The components show where the model sees strength or drag relative to comparable RBs.

RB+ update pending

The projection and career data remain available while this player's component score is refreshed.