RB14 / KC

Kenneth Walker III

Starter tier / #114 overall

Quick glance

Kenneth Walker III enters the 2026 season with KC and ranks RB20 and #74 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 195.9 PPR points across 14.2 games, or 13.8 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a strong starter tier. The preseason depth chart lists Kenneth Walker III as RB1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Kenneth Walker III produced 191.9 PPR points in 17 games (11.3 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 68%, with a 58% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.

Source
Gridiron Value model output
Latest model recompute
Aug 1, 2026
Next update
Every Tuesday
2026 season outlook

Kenneth Walker III projection range

Percentiles describe the model's range of season outcomes. They are not separate point predictions.

P5 downside31.2
Median195.9
P95 upside383.4
Confidence77%
P5 31P50 196P95 383
Projected stat line

What the model expects

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Games14
PPR195.9
PPR / game13.8
Carries198
Rush yards706
Rush TD7.0
Receptions40
Rec yards317
Rec TD2.0
Career production

Season-by-season NFL stats

Regular-season totals through 2025, with the categories that drive fantasy scoring for RBs.

SeasonTeamGCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TDFumPPR
2025SEA172211,0275363128200191.9
2024SEA111535737534629910181.2
2023SEA152199058372925910199.4
2022SEA152281,0509352716500202.5
Career-588213,555291611331,00520775.0
Model+

RB+ player profile

100 is position average. The components show where the model sees strength or drag relative to comparable RBs.

Projected RB+109RB27 / 2025 actual 101
Output114
70Avg 100130
Opportunity107
70Avg 100130
Efficiency100
70Avg 100130
Role111
70Avg 100130
Context108
70Avg 100130
Scoring100
70Avg 100130