RB100 / TEN

Michael Carter

Depth tier / #451 overall

Quick glance

Michael Carter enters the 2026 season with TEN and ranks RB91 and #336 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 36.4 PPR points across 12.9 games, or 2.8 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a depth and watch-list tier. The preseason depth chart lists Michael Carter as RB4, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Michael Carter produced 99.0 PPR points in 13 games (7.6 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 36%, with a 0% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The primary risk is earning enough weekly opportunity from a lower depth-chart position.

Source
Gridiron Value model output
Latest model recompute
Aug 1, 2026
Next update
Every Tuesday
2026 season outlook

Michael Carter projection range

Percentiles describe the model's range of season outcomes. They are not separate point predictions.

P5 downside2.9
Median36.4
P95 upside127.0
Confidence78%
P5 3P50 36P95 127
Projected stat line

What the model expects

Open weekly projections →
Games13
PPR36.4
PPR / game2.8
Carries57
Rush yards126
Rush TD1.0
Receptions9
Rec yards69
Rec TD0.4
Career production

Season-by-season NFL stats

Regular-season totals through 2025, with the categories that drive fantasy scoring for RBs.

SeasonTeamGCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TDFumPPR
2025ARI1392333145332670099.0
2024ARI33513111111570035.8
2023NYJ1530187031241011058.8
2022NYJ161144023544128800126.0
2021NYJ141476394553632500154.4
Career-614181,69291961451,03810474.0
Model+

RB+ player profile

100 is position average. The components show where the model sees strength or drag relative to comparable RBs.

Projected RB+95RB136 / 2025 actual 96
Output91
70Avg 100130
Opportunity98
70Avg 100130
Efficiency100
70Avg 100130
Role91
70Avg 100130
Context78
70Avg 100130
Scoring100
70Avg 100130