RB102 / ATL

Nate Carter

Depth tier / #457 overall

Quick glance

Nate Carter enters the 2026 season with ATL and ranks RB134 and #474 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 23.6 PPR points across 10.6 games, or 2.2 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a depth and watch-list tier. The preseason depth chart lists Nate Carter as RB4, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Nate Carter produced 4.0 PPR points in 2 games (2.0 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 15%, with a 0% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The primary risk is earning enough weekly opportunity from a lower depth-chart position.

Source
Gridiron Value model output
Latest model recompute
Aug 1, 2026
Next update
Every Tuesday
2026 season outlook

Nate Carter projection range

Percentiles describe the model's range of season outcomes. They are not separate point predictions.

P5 downside0.5
Median23.6
P95 upside128.0
Confidence35%
P5 0P50 24P95 128
Projected stat line

What the model expects

Open weekly projections →
Games11
PPR23.6
PPR / game2.2
Carries21
Rush yards102
Rush TD0.7
Receptions4
Rec yards36
Rec TD0.2
Career production

Season-by-season NFL stats

Regular-season totals through 2025, with the categories that drive fantasy scoring for RBs.

SeasonTeamGCarRush YdsRush TDTgtRecRec YdsRec TDFumPPR
2025ATL29600000014.0
Career-29600000014.0
Model+

RB+ player profile

100 is position average. The components show where the model sees strength or drag relative to comparable RBs.

Projected RB+91RB215 / 2025 actual 91
Output87
70Avg 100130
Opportunity90
70Avg 100130
Efficiency100
70Avg 100130
Role90
70Avg 100130
Context108
70Avg 100130
Scoring100
70Avg 100130