CHI · QB

Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams is a quarterback for the Chicago Bears. Injury status: Doubtful. Depth chart: QB3.

Scouting report

Caleb Williams: the full picture

Written automatically from Gridiron Value model data · updated September 24, 2026

Caleb Williams at a glance

Caleb Williams is a 24-year-old quarterback for the Chicago Bears, listed at 6'1" and 226 pounds. The Chicago Bears drafted Williams 1st overall in the first round in 2024, out of USC; this is year three in the league.

2026 projection

Our season projection has Williams at 330.0 PPR points for 2026, which ranks QB5 at the position and works out to 19.4 points per game over 17.0 projected games. The stat line behind that number is 4,828 passing yards, 25.4 passing touchdowns, 326 rushing yards and 3.7 rushing touchdowns. The model does not treat that as a promise: the range of outcomes runs from 40 points at the 5th percentile to 520 at the 95th, with a median of 330 and 61% projection confidence.

2026 season so far

Through 2 games of 2026, Williams has scored 45.0 PPR points, or 22.5 per game. That is 13.6% of the full-season projection; at the current rate Williams would finish with about 382 points, ahead of the 330.0 projected. It is a small sample, so expect that pace to settle. The best week so far is 37.3 points in Week 1 against CAR, the QB1 finish that week. Williams has cleared the 18-point mark we count as a usable QB start in 1 of 2 games, a 50% consistency rate.

Percentile profile

Measured against the 33 qualified quarterbacks of 2026, Williams ranks in the 98th percentile in rush yards, the 59th percentile in yards per attempt and the 56th percentile in CPOE. One of the 8 tracked categories sits at or above the 75th percentile. The softest mark is the 35th percentile in intended air yards.

Career track record

By season-long PPR scoring, Williams has finished as QB16 in 2024 and QB5 in 2025. One of those 2 seasons ended inside the top twelve. The high-water mark is 318.2 PPR points in 2025. Across 36 regular-season games on record, the totals read 7,890 passing yards, 49 passing touchdowns, 979 rushing yards and 5 rushing touchdowns.

Caleb Williams by the numbers

Williams has been the highest-scoring quarterback of the week 4 times, finished in the weekly top five at the position 7 times and finished in the top twelve 15 times. The career high is 38.7 PPR points, set in Week 9 of 2025 against CIN, the top QB score of that week. The game log also shows 2 games of 30 or more PPR points, 5 300-yard passing games and 6 games with three or more touchdowns. In all, Williams has reached 20 points in 13 games, 36% of career appearances.

Contract

Williams is playing on a four-year, $39.5 million contract signed with the Chicago Bears in 2024, an average of $9.9 million per year with $39.5 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2027 season.

2026 projected stat line

Projected PPR
330.0
PPR / game
19.4
Pass yards
4,828
Pass TD
25.4
Rush yards
326
Rush TD
3.7

Caleb Williams fantasy outlook

Caleb Williams enters the 2026 season with CHI and ranks QB5 and #10 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 330.0 PPR points across 17.0 games, or 19.4 points per game, placing the expected outcome in an elite fantasy tier. The preseason depth chart lists Caleb Williams as QB1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Caleb Williams produced 318.2 PPR points in 17 games (18.7 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 58%, with a 87% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. Availability is the main uncertainty because the current injury designation is Out.

Week 1 projection

Caleb Williams is projected for 16.4 PPR points on the road at CAR in week 1, with a likely range of 0.7 to 43.7.

Trade value

Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is down 6.0 since the previous model run (falling).

Redraft
58.3
Dynasty
62.6
Superflex redraft
95.6
Superflex dynasty
98.4
TE premium dynasty
37.7

Compare Caleb Williams on the trade value chart

Career stats

SeasonTeamGCmpAttPass ydsPass TDIntRush ydsRush TDPPR
2026CHI2365540721107245.0
2025CHI173305683,9422773833318.2
2024CHI173515623,5412064890254.5

Quarterbacks ranked near Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears fantasy players

Chicago Bears depth chart and projections

Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-09-24.